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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+5.11vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+8.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.93+4.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+1.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.53+0.01vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.69vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+0.63vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-2.94vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-2.47vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.70-1.77vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.40-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.86-4.15vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.56-0.96vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.41-4.57vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.91-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.63Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.23University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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11.53College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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14.04Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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11.43Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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9.54Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Adler | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Bianca Rom | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 42.6% |
| Sarah Fiske | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.