← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.59+4.65vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.14+1.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.84+4.90vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.30+2.21vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.60+0.53vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.46+1.71vs Predicted
-
7Boston University0.95+0.42vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University0.42+0.38vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.08-2.09vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.77-2.50vs Predicted
-
11Bates College-0.67+1.46vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.18-5.80vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-2.90vs Predicted
-
14McGill University-0.53-2.47vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.93-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.65Yale University1.5911.5%1st Place
-
3.97Brown University2.1420.3%1st Place
-
7.9University of Vermont0.845.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of Rhode Island1.308.6%1st Place
-
5.53Roger Williams University1.6010.5%1st Place
-
7.71Salve Regina University0.465.3%1st Place
-
7.42Boston University0.955.7%1st Place
-
8.38Fairfield University0.424.9%1st Place
-
6.91Tufts University1.087.5%1st Place
-
7.5Northeastern University0.775.7%1st Place
-
12.46Bates College-0.671.0%1st Place
-
6.2Tufts University1.188.9%1st Place
-
10.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.5%1st Place
-
11.53McGill University-0.531.7%1st Place
-
12.54Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 20.3% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 33.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 20.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 22.5% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.