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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+9.21vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.61vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.10vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74+7.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+2.48vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16+1.97vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.22-0.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.75vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-5.69vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-4.64vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-8.51vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.99-8.59vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.1Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.38University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.22Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.48Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.97University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.06Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.49Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.68Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 24.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.