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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.63vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+4.18vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+4.91vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.97vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+1.90vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.38vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.70vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16+0.92vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-2.38vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-4.49vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-2.47vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-4.75vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-2.50vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.36vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.23-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.6Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.62College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.92University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.62Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.53Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 26.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.