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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+11.00vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+7.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+4.64vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+5.91vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+1.70vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.60vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.34vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16+2.00vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-1.96vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.65vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-1.71vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-5.64vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-4.69vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-9.18vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.74-3.49vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.0Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.42Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.7College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.0University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.31Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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13.51University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Emma White | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 26.5% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.