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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.57vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+8.59vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+3.93vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+4.56vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+4.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.29vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.05vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.16+0.15vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-1.34vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-6.00vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.22-3.53vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.84-7.01vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-5.36vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.93College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.29Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.32Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.15University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.47University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.64Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% |
| Emma White | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.