← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+5.30vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.11+9.18vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.50vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.36+5.84vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.51+8.04vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.18+0.65vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.35-0.99vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.76+0.19vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.65-0.31vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.40+0.04vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.59+1.98vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.63-2.86vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.46vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.50-4.90vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.49-5.70vs Predicted
-
16University of Hawaii1.25-1.90vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.29vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston3.09-11.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.3Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
11.18Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
9.84University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
13.04Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
6.65Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.01Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.19George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.69Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
-
10.04Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
-
12.98University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
9.14Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
13.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
9.1Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.3Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
14.1University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
-
9.71University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
6.77College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Emily Haig | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Riley Legault | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 21.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Annika Garrett | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 26.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.