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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+7.04vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+5.44vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+4.59vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+4.67vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+0.08vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.50vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-2.13vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-0.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.52vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-1.68vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.51-0.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.49-4.90vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.11-4.14vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.59-3.00vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.25-2.84vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.87College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.6Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.95Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.86Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.0University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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13.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Emily Haig | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 17.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 16.1% |
| Annika Garrett | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 26.9% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.