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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+7.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.07vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+6.85vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.78vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+0.91vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.25vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+2.16vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.59+4.39vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+4.32vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.360.00vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-0.24vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.76-3.56vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.51-0.41vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-7.70vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.63-6.43vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.49-6.80vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii-1.12+0.52vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.44-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.39University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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13.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.76Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.59Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.3Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.57Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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17.52University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Paris Henken | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Brown | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 2.5% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 25.8% | 4.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Riley Legault | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 88.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.