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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.11vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+6.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.70vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+3.51vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+3.74vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+1.07vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+1.43vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-3.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+2.38vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.55vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.79vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-1.70vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.49-5.90vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.11-5.24vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-4.07vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.87Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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13.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.3University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.76Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.93Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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17.37University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Riley Legault | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 26.3% | 5.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 3.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 3.3% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 6.0% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.