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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.71vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+4.09vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+5.82vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+5.43vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+1.85vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.71vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.51+4.67vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+1.71vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.59+2.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.66vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.09vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.89vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.49-5.88vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.63-7.31vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii-1.12+0.52vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.33-12.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.14George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.67Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.71Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.75University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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13.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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17.52University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
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5.82Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Paris Henken | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 2.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 3.9% |
| Emily Haig | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 24.4% | 3.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 87.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.