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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.73vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+5.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+5.70vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.95vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.63+3.58vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.59+6.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+1.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+1.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-2.89vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11+0.85vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.49-1.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+1.49vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-7.14vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.60vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-5.93vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.51-3.10vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.53vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.05College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.6University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.85Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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13.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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5.86Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.9Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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17.37University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 3.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Haig | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 26.2% | 5.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 3.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 85.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.