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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.59+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.30+4.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08+4.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14-0.03vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60+0.43vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46+1.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.18-0.80vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.95-0.62vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.77-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.84-2.30vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.42-2.46vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.86vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.67-0.41vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.93-1.47vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.53-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Yale University1.5911.5%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island1.307.5%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University1.085.9%1st Place
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3.97Brown University2.1418.4%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University1.6011.7%1st Place
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7.58Salve Regina University0.465.7%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University1.189.8%1st Place
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7.38Boston University0.956.7%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University0.776.8%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont0.845.8%1st Place
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8.54Fairfield University0.424.5%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.8%1st Place
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12.59Bates College-0.670.7%1st Place
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12.53Salve Regina University-0.930.8%1st Place
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11.63McGill University-0.531.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Keeves | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.4% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Balunas | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 6.8% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 33.6% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 34.3% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.