← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.35+5.17vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.18+4.73vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.09+4.02vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.63+4.52vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.76+3.03vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.40+3.56vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.50+2.17vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.65+0.47vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.33-3.11vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+3.46vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.64vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.33vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.59-0.62vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.51-1.49vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.11-4.40vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College2.49-6.76vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.36-7.19vs Predicted
-
18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.17Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.73Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.02College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.52Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.03George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.56Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.17Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.47Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
5.89Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
13.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
6.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
9.67University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
12.38University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
12.51Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
10.6Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.24Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.81University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
17.38University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 26.8% | 4.8% |
| Emily Haig | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 3.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.