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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.12vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+6.43vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.49vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+0.88vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+1.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-2.13vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36+0.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.21vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.49-1.76vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.63-3.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.10vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-1.74vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.11-4.38vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-6.48vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-4.08vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.88College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.79Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.94Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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13.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.62Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.92Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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17.4University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 25.6% | 4.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 3.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 3.9% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.