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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+7.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+6.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+1.58vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+3.20vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+1.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+4.33vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.47vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.59+1.71vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-2.07vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-7.07vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-1.42vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-6.42vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.50-6.65vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.49-7.64vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.93Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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13.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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12.71University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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5.93Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.58Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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17.39University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 23.6% | 4.1% |
| Emily Haig | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 3.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 4.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.