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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+7.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.76vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.63+5.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+4.40vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.59+6.66vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-0.99vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+1.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40+0.60vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-2.81vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.51+1.96vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.38vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.93vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.50-5.80vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-7.29vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.49-7.60vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.91Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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5.99Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.66University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.01Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.96Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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13.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.2Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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17.4University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 3.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Paris Henken | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 22.9% | 4.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 4.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.