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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.24vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+5.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+3.69vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+4.56vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+0.98vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.51+6.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+6.29vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.33vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-0.48vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-1.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.65vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.46vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.15-2.56vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.49-5.15vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.50-5.79vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-6.33vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.59-4.34vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.85Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.33George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.54Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.21Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.66University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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17.39University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 3.7% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 24.5% | 4.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 2.9% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.