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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+8.60vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+6.94vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.20vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+5.70vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+4.54vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+2.24vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-0.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+5.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.51+3.84vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.47vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-3.90vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-3.00vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.50-3.93vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-7.63vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-5.84vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.49-6.68vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.59-4.30vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.6University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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8.94Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.2Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.06Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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12.84Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.07Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.7University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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17.41University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 5.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 3.3% |
| Emily Haig | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 2.4% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.