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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+3.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.30+3.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.77+3.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.59+0.54vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.42+2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.84+0.73vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.95-0.65vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.08-2.06vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.18-3.84vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-3.42vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.69vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.93-0.55vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.67-1.53vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.53-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Brown University2.1418.1%1st Place
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5.4Roger Williams University1.6012.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island1.309.7%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University0.775.5%1st Place
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5.54Yale University1.5910.5%1st Place
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8.51Fairfield University0.423.8%1st Place
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7.73University of Vermont0.845.4%1st Place
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7.35Boston University0.956.0%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University1.087.4%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University1.189.3%1st Place
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7.58Salve Regina University0.466.6%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.7%1st Place
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12.45Salve Regina University-0.931.2%1st Place
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12.47Bates College-0.670.5%1st Place
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11.6McGill University-0.531.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 18.1% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Balunas | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 20.8% | 32.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 22.4% | 33.2% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.