← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.48+6.79vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.71+4.76vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.53+4.48vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.92+5.78vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+3.16vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.70+4.84vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.73vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.48-0.54vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.93+0.85vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.74-3.23vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.81-0.52vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.75-1.03vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.18-4.39vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.90-4.36vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.56-0.20vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.40-3.87vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.91-7.03vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College2.41-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.79Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.76Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.48Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.78Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
10.84University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.46Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.85University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
-
6.77Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.48Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.97Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.61Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
-
14.8Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
-
12.13College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.97Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
-
11.79Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Adler | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Hillary Noble | 4.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Bianca Rom | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 39.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.