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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.79vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+7.49vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+6.48vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+4.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.80vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+0.07vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49+0.20vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-3.80vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.18vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-6.19vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-4.70vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-2.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.55vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.59-4.24vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii-1.12-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.49Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.2Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.83Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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12.76University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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17.4University of Hawaii-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.4% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 9.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 3.4% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 26.5% | 4.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 3.2% |
| Caitlin Bennett | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.