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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.64+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.57+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.70-0.32vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University1.06-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.20-0.20vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.66+0.09vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.75+0.57vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.99-1.44vs Predicted
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9Hillsdale College-2.23-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Michigan State University1.640.2%1st Place
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2.97University of Minnesota1.570.2%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan1.700.3%1st Place
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3.49Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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6.09Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.57Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.56Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.05Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Pfaff | 24.9% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 20.6% | 22.8% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Glover | 27.5% | 23.6% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 15.4% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 25.2% | 26.8% | 16.1% | 3.7% |
| Drake Hullinger | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 33.9% | 30.5% |
| Caroline Ritter | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 9.5% | 18.7% | 28.2% | 21.5% | 10.5% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 23.3% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.