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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.57+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.70+0.79vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.75+4.61vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.64-1.32vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.66+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.20-1.17vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.23+1.05vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.99-1.43vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University1.06-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Minnesota1.570.2%1st Place
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2.79University of Michigan1.700.2%1st Place
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7.61Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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2.68Michigan State University1.640.3%1st Place
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6.01Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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8.05Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.57Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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3.6Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 24.2% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Glover | 23.5% | 24.6% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hullinger | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 34.5% | 31.3% |
| Owen Pfaff | 27.5% | 22.2% | 21.5% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 22.3% | 25.3% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Colin Mackay | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 24.5% | 23.8% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 25.1% | 52.2% |
| Caroline Ritter | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 18.5% | 28.4% | 22.6% | 9.8% |
| Elliot Lee | 13.8% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.