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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.64+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.57+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.70-0.34vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University1.06-0.51vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.99+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.20-1.12vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.23+1.11vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.75-0.48vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.66-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Michigan State University1.640.2%1st Place
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2.96University of Minnesota1.570.2%1st Place
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2.66University of Michigan1.700.3%1st Place
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3.49Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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6.5Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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8.11Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
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7.52Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.1Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Pfaff | 24.8% | 23.6% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 20.2% | 23.8% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Glover | 27.8% | 23.0% | 21.1% | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 15.7% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 27.2% | 22.0% | 9.3% |
| Colin Mackay | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 24.8% | 22.5% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 11.6% | 21.2% | 56.6% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 35.7% | 29.1% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 11.4% | 25.1% | 26.2% | 16.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.