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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.57+0.99vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.64-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.20+0.80vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.75+2.49vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.66+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.70-4.37vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College-2.23+0.06vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.99-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Minnesota1.570.2%1st Place
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2.75Michigan State University1.640.3%1st Place
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4.8University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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7.49Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.11Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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2.63University of Michigan1.700.3%1st Place
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8.06Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.57Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 14.8% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 19.6% | 21.3% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Pfaff | 25.4% | 24.0% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 21.0% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Drake Hullinger | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 32.1% | 30.1% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 22.4% | 27.9% | 16.0% | 5.0% |
| Grant Glover | 28.5% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 23.5% | 54.5% |
| Caroline Ritter | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 18.7% | 26.8% | 24.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.