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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.57+1.88vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+1.70vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.64-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.20+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.70-2.37vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.66+0.14vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.52+0.38vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College-2.23+0.11vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.99-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Minnesota1.570.2%1st Place
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3.7Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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2.77Michigan State University1.640.3%1st Place
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4.8University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Michigan1.700.3%1st Place
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6.14Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.38Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.11Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.59Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 22.7% | 22.5% | 20.9% | 17.6% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 10.3% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Owen Pfaff | 25.8% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 23.6% | 21.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Grant Glover | 29.0% | 25.7% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 22.5% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 5.6% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 34.3% | 25.1% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 58.3% |
| Caroline Ritter | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 19.3% | 27.3% | 23.7% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.