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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo0.20+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.57-0.13vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.66+2.09vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.64-2.29vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.70-3.32vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.23+1.13vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.99-1.41vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.52-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Toledo0.200.0%1st Place
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2.87University of Minnesota1.570.2%1st Place
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6.09Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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2.71Michigan State University1.640.3%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan1.700.3%1st Place
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8.13Hillsdale College-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.59Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.3Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 13.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colin Mackay | 4.6% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 24.6% | 23.7% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Carl Eaton | 22.4% | 22.9% | 21.5% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 22.4% | 26.4% | 15.8% | 5.3% |
| Owen Pfaff | 27.6% | 23.4% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grant Glover | 25.3% | 25.7% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Rowland | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 58.4% |
| Caroline Ritter | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 23.3% | 11.5% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 34.7% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.