← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.76vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.48+1.85vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota0.34-0.35vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-1.45+1.17vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.72-0.96vs Predicted
-
6Hillsdale College-2.46+0.83vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-2.17-0.57vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-3.10-0.27vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-2.27-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.76Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
-
3.85University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
-
2.65University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
-
5.17Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
-
4.04University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
-
6.83Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
-
6.43Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
-
7.73Western Michigan University-3.100.0%1st Place
-
6.55Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 52.2% | 29.5% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 7.0% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Stone | 22.5% | 29.8% | 22.6% | 14.9% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Marzke | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 8.4% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.2% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 23.8% | 20.0% |
| Theo Wachowski | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 12.3% |
| Daniel Plater | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 48.5% |
| Justin Edick | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.