← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Toledo-0.48+2.75vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota0.34+0.73vs Predicted
-
3Grand Valley State University1.18-1.26vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-1.45+1.17vs Predicted
-
5Hillsdale College-2.46+1.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan-0.72-1.90vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-3.10+0.79vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University-2.17-1.58vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-2.27-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.75University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
-
2.73University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
-
1.74Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
-
5.17Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
-
6.76Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
-
4.1University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
-
7.79Western Michigan University-3.100.0%1st Place
-
6.42Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
-
6.55Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lowry | 10.2% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stone | 19.5% | 29.7% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 54.6% | 25.5% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Marzke | 3.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 15.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 23.3% | 20.4% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.4% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Plater | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 47.8% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 13.6% |
| Justin Edick | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 22.8% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.