← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota0.34+1.63vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University1.18-0.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Toledo-0.48+0.76vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-2.17+2.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.72-0.99vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-1.45-0.78vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-2.27-0.38vs Predicted
-
8Hillsdale College-2.46-1.15vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-3.10-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
-
1.84Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
-
3.76University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
-
6.34Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
-
4.01University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
-
5.22Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
-
6.62Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
-
6.85Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
-
7.73Western Michigan University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 23.9% | 27.9% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 47.9% | 31.0% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 10.0% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 12.3% |
| Max Ellsworth | 8.5% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Noah Marzke | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
| Justin Edick | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 23.6% | 14.6% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 22.1% | 22.2% |
| Daniel Plater | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 21.2% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.