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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+6.16vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.73vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+3.69vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+0.83vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.75+3.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.90+0.74vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92-0.30vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.91-1.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.80vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.41-1.39vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.40-2.34vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.53-7.64vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.70-5.23vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.56-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.01Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.91Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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10.66College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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6.36Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.77University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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13.33Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Bethany Leonard | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% |
| Jennifer Adler | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Hillary Noble | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Bianca Rom | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.