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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+2.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.08+5.09vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+2.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.77+3.48vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.84+2.86vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.95+1.43vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.67+5.35vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.42+0.53vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.53+2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.30-3.75vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-4.76vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.60-6.64vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.93-0.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-3.62vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.46-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Brown University2.1420.6%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University1.086.2%1st Place
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5.7Yale University1.5910.3%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University0.776.6%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont0.845.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston University0.956.2%1st Place
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12.35Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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8.53Fairfield University0.425.0%1st Place
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11.44McGill University-0.531.2%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island1.307.8%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University1.188.8%1st Place
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5.36Roger Williams University1.6011.7%1st Place
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12.49Salve Regina University-0.930.5%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.8%1st Place
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7.49Salve Regina University0.466.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 20.6% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Balunas | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 32.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 19.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 20.9% | 34.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.