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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.48+2.73vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.45+3.39vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.18-1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34-1.42vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.27+1.41vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.17+0.41vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.46-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.72-3.85vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-3.10-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.39Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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1.77Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
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2.58University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
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6.41Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.41Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
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6.85Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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7.72Western Michigan University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lowry | 9.8% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 23.0% | 17.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Marzke | 3.3% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Liam Walz | 51.2% | 29.1% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 22.4% | 32.4% | 22.7% | 13.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Edick | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 15.5% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 13.0% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 26.5% | 19.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 8.1% | 10.6% | 18.3% | 22.1% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Plater | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.