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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.48+1.86vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.18-1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.72+0.02vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.17+1.32vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.45-0.75vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.10+0.77vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.27-1.44vs Predicted
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9Hillsdale College-2.46-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Minnesota0.340.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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1.75Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
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4.02University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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6.32Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
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5.25Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.77Western Michigan University-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.56Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.84Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 22.6% | 29.8% | 23.0% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 7.6% | 13.9% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Liam Walz | 51.9% | 29.8% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 8.8% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 13.4% |
| Noah Marzke | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 22.2% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Plater | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 48.6% |
| Justin Edick | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 22.2% | 20.9% | 16.0% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 27.3% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.