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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+2.20vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.86+2.64vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.86+3.85vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+3.52vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.67+2.39vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.75+1.20vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-2.43vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.81+4.61vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina0.34-1.33vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.37-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.37-0.85vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.33-1.69vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.35-2.92vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.75-2.42vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.88-0.34vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.92-3.76vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.54-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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4.64Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.14Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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8.52Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.39Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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8.2University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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5.57Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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13.61William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.59University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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9.67University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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9.9William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.31North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.08Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.58North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.66Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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14.24Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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15.72University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 27.3% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 7.0% |
| Alex Jones | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thompson Betts | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Chapin | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Noah Schalles | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| James Robertson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| victor lu | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 43.4% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 9.6% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.