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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.75+7.22vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.67+6.55vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.86+1.70vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+1.38vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.46-1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.86+1.78vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.37+2.67vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.72+0.53vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.37+2.19vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.69-5.86vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.33+0.44vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.81+0.52vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.92+0.28vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina0.34-5.34vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.35-3.85vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.75-3.49vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-1.88-1.23vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.54-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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8.55Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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4.7Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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5.38Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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3.32Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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7.78University of Maryland0.860.1%1st Place
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9.67William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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8.53Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.14Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.44North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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13.52William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.28Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.66University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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12.15Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.51North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.77Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah DeLoach | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 23.6% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Jones | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Nina Willms | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 6.5% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.6% |
| Thompson Betts | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| James Robertson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 7.4% |
| victor lu | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 41.5% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.