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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.86+3.46vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.46+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+5.35vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.67+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.86+2.62vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.75+0.78vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.69-2.94vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.33+2.46vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.72-2.21vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.35+0.69vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.37-2.65vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.81+0.11vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.54+1.56vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.75-2.04vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-1.88+0.31vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.75-3.96vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.92-4.36vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina-1.59-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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3.18Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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8.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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8.1Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Maryland0.860.0%1st Place
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5.2Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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7.78University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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5.06Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.46North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.79Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.69Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.35William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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13.11William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.56University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.31Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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13.04North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.64Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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15.33University of North Carolina-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Resto | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 26.7% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 12.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 22.2% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 34.2% |
| James Robertson | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Grace DeSena | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.