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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.86+3.35vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+2.84vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+5.06vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+4.25vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+3.02vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.86+0.37vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.46-4.81vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.37-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-1.59+5.52vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.35+0.65vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.54+3.79vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.81+0.09vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.33-2.33vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.75-2.04vs Predicted
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16Washington College-0.92-2.44vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-0.37-5.36vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-1.88-1.66vs Predicted
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19University of South Carolina0.75-11.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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4.84Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.06Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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8.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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8.02Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.42Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Maryland0.860.1%1st Place
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3.19Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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8.93William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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15.52University of North Carolina-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.65Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.79University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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13.09William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.67North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.96North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.56Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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16.34Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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7.32University of South Carolina0.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Resto | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Megan Ploch | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 27.5% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Grace DeSena | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 21.8% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 22.2% |
| Nina Willms | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| James Robertson | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 6.5% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| victor lu | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 33.6% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.