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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.86+3.33vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.67+6.03vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+4.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.75+3.68vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-1.59+10.85vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.92+7.45vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.86-0.46vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.37-0.08vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.81+3.17vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.72-3.15vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.33-0.10vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.54+2.21vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.37-2.15vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.75-2.06vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.35-4.38vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-1.88-0.77vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.46-14.96vs Predicted
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19Florida State University1.69-14.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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8.03Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.51Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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7.68University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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15.85University of North Carolina-1.590.0%1st Place
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13.45Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Maryland0.860.1%1st Place
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8.92William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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13.17William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.85Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.9North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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15.21University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.94North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.62Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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16.23Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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3.04Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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4.61Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Resto | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Megan Ploch | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace DeSena | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 24.4% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Alex Jones | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nina Willms | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| James Robertson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| victor lu | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 18.8% | 34.3% |
| Telmo Basterra | 28.0% | 21.3% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.