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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+3.68vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+5.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.75+4.60vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+3.33vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.67+3.10vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.98vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.86-2.80vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.46-4.88vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.37-0.13vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.92+3.61vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.33+0.54vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.81+1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.85+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.75-0.76vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.75-2.06vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.35-4.42vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.54-1.54vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina0.34-9.03vs Predicted
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19Penn State University-1.88-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.79Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.6University of South Carolina0.750.1%1st Place
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7.33Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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8.1Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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4.2Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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3.12Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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8.87William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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13.61Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.54North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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13.63William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Maryland-0.850.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.94North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.58Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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8.97University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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16.15Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Hayden | 11.9% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Paula Resto | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 28.2% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Haber Carlson | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Nina Willms | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Howard | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| James Robertson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 26.9% |
| Thompson Betts | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.