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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.78vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+4.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+5.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+2.86vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41+3.71vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.75+1.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-2.40vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-1.14vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.53-4.45vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.40-1.35vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.90-4.16vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.70-4.54vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.91-6.12vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.56-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.33Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.71Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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9.26Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.6Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.86Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.65College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida2.700.1%1st Place
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8.88Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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13.37Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 11.1% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Jennifer Adler | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Hillary Noble | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Bianca Rom | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.