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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+4.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.14+1.93vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08+4.16vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84+3.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.18+1.34vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.95+1.45vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.77+0.43vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.42+0.47vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.30-2.86vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.59-4.33vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.55vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.93+0.28vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-5.49vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.67-1.60vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.53-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Roger Williams University1.6012.2%1st Place
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3.93Brown University2.1418.9%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University1.087.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont0.846.5%1st Place
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6.34Tufts University1.187.8%1st Place
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7.45Boston University0.955.4%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University0.776.3%1st Place
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8.47Fairfield University0.423.7%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island1.309.3%1st Place
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5.67Yale University1.5911.2%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.3%1st Place
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12.28Salve Regina University-0.931.0%1st Place
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7.51Salve Regina University0.465.9%1st Place
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12.4Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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11.68McGill University-0.531.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.9% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 8.7% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 33.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 21.1% | 32.5% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 21.6% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.