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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.86+3.24vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.46+0.96vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+1.74vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+3.36vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.35+6.91vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.75+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.07vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.37+1.18vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.67-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.85+3.37vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.33+0.49vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.81+1.59vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.92+0.40vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.72-6.25vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina0.34-6.02vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.75-3.00vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.75-4.02vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-1.88-1.55vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.54-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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2.96Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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4.74Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.36Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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11.91Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.54University of South Carolina0.750.1%1st Place
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8.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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9.18William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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7.76Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Maryland-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.49North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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13.59William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.4Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.75Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.98University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.98North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.45Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Resto | 15.1% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 29.5% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 14.1% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Jones | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Howard | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Edwards | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Nina Willms | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thompson Betts | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| James Robertson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| victor lu | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 39.8% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.