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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+3.54vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.86+2.18vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.46-0.09vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+3.12vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37+3.92vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-1.59+8.32vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.37+3.58vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.92+4.08vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-2.27vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.75-3.68vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.81+1.26vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.67-5.56vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.75-1.16vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.33-3.95vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.54-0.82vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.35-5.76vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland-0.85-4.94vs Predicted
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19Penn State University-1.88-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.18Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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2.91Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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7.12Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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8.92William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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7.43Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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15.32University of North Carolina-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.08Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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7.32University of South Carolina0.750.0%1st Place
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13.26William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.44Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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12.84North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.05North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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15.18University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.24Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Maryland-0.850.0%1st Place
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15.8Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Hayden | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 16.2% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 30.4% | 21.8% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace DeSena | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 23.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Alex Jones | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nina Willms | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Carrie Marshall | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Robertson | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Edwards | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| Noah Schalles | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Howard | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| victor lu | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 20.2% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.