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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.67+6.61vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+5.14vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+1.60vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.46-1.14vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.86-0.80vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37+2.63vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.75+0.36vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.72-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-1.31vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.33+1.15vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.92+2.34vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.35-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.59+2.17vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.37-2.53vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.85-2.09vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.81-3.12vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.54-1.80vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-0.75-5.27vs Predicted
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19Penn State University-1.88-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.14Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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4.6Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.86Jacksonville University2.460.3%1st Place
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4.2Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.63William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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7.36University of South Carolina0.750.1%1st Place
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7.64Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.1%1st Place
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11.15North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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13.34Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.52Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.17University of North Carolina-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Maryland-0.850.0%1st Place
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12.88William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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12.73North Carolina State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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15.88Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrie Marshall | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 28.7% | 24.5% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Resto | 14.3% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Edwards | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Haber Carlson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Grace DeSena | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 21.5% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Howard | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% |
| Nina Willms | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 22.4% |
| James Robertson | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| victor lu | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.