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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.30+3.76vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.76+9.71vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53+1.22vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.25-0.02vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.17+6.90vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.33+3.13vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.45-0.56vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.16+0.26vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.36-5.59vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.79+4.12vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.12-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.77-1.58vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.09-1.02vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.39vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.87-4.05vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-0.93-4.81vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-5.53vs Predicted
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19Penn State University-2.27-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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11.71Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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4.22Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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4.98University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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12.9North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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9.26Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.41Clemson University1.360.2%1st Place
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15.12Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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8.69Florida State University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.42University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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14.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.95William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.19William and Mary-0.930.0%1st Place
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12.47Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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16.1Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaynah True | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Houghton | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| David Perez | 18.3% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 0.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Jacob Stoner | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Derek Safieh | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Robert Gruskos | 15.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| Christopher Deleon | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Weisel | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| David Sutton | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 18.4% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.