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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.36+3.53vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.25+2.94vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.45+4.34vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.30+0.70vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.33-0.22vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.16+3.39vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.77+4.68vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.53-3.69vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.33+0.89vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.76+1.51vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.12-2.55vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.93+0.55vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.17-0.16vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.87-1.87vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.09-2.34vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-3.64vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-1.79-1.98vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-3.22vs Predicted
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19Penn State University-2.27-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Clemson University1.360.2%1st Place
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4.94University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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4.7Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.78North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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9.39Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.68University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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4.31Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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9.89University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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11.51Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.45Florida State University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.55William and Mary-0.930.0%1st Place
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12.84North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.13William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.36Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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15.02Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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14.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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16.12Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Gruskos | 15.6% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| David Perez | 17.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Houghton | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Deleon | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Will Brooks | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Weisel | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| David Sutton | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 22.4% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 17.2% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 17.5% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.