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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.45+6.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.25+2.90vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.36+1.67vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33+0.64vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.53-0.75vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.40+1.40vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.16+2.41vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.30-3.12vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.17+3.81vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+2.27vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.93+1.10vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.87+0.21vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.09-0.48vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.33-3.95vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.76-3.56vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-1.79-1.00vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-1.34-3.53vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-2.27-1.68vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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4.9University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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4.67Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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4.25Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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7.4Florida State University0.400.1%1st Place
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9.41Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.88Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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12.81North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.27Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.1William and Mary-0.930.0%1st Place
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12.21William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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11.44Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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15.0Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.47University of North Carolina-1.340.0%1st Place
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16.32Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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14.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Safieh | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Shaynah True | 13.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| David Sutton | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Weisel | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 3.1% |
| Jacob Stoner | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Houghton | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| Emily Smith | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 38.6% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.