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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+3.20vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.30+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.25+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.45+3.29vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.40+2.61vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.76+5.45vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.36-2.47vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87+4.13vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.33-4.44vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.33-0.11vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-1.17+1.98vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.93+0.48vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-3.80vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.34-0.41vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.09-3.41vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-1.79-2.06vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-2.27-1.69vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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4.79Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.92University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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7.61Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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11.45Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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4.53Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
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12.13William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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4.56North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.98North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.48William and Mary-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.2Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.59University of North Carolina-1.340.0%1st Place
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12.2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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14.94Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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16.31Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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14.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 15.4% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Houghton | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Robert Gruskos | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 15.0% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Will Brooks | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Smith | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| David Sutton | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 19.6% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 36.5% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.