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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.25+3.53vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.53+1.89vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.40+4.12vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.36+0.24vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.30-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.45+0.85vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.16+2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.33+1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.09+3.32vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.76+1.19vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.35-1.28vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.93+0.19vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-1.12vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.87-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.77-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-1.51vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-1.69-2.58vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech-1.79-3.15vs Predicted
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19Penn State University-2.27-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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3.89Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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7.12Florida State University0.400.1%1st Place
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4.24Clemson University1.360.2%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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9.05Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.19Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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9.72North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.19William and Mary-0.930.0%1st Place
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11.88Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.78William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.16University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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14.42North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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14.85Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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15.89Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackey Leventis | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 20.5% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 13.3% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Stoner | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Weisel | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Houghton | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Victoria Newberry | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| David Sutton | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
| Jordan Hayes | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 16.6% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 18.7% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.