← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.53+2.85vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.30+2.50vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.40+4.13vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina1.25+0.50vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University1.36-0.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland0.45+0.85vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary-0.93+4.92vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University-0.16+1.25vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland-0.33+0.48vs Predicted
-
10Washington College-0.76+1.16vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University-0.35-1.24vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina-0.77-0.40vs Predicted
-
13University of Georgia-1.09-0.74vs Predicted
-
14William and Mary-0.87-2.22vs Predicted
-
15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-3.06vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech-1.79-1.21vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-2.57vs Predicted
-
18Penn State University-2.27-1.81vs Predicted
-
19North Carolina State University-1.69-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.85Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
-
4.5Jacksonville University1.300.1%1st Place
-
7.13Florida State University0.400.1%1st Place
-
4.5University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.37Clemson University1.360.1%1st Place
-
6.85University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
-
11.92William and Mary-0.930.0%1st Place
-
9.25Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
9.48University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
-
11.16Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
-
9.76North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
11.6University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
-
12.26University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.78William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
-
11.94Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
-
14.79Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
-
14.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
-
16.19Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
-
14.22North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 19.3% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mackey Leventis | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 13.6% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Griffiths | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Haley Clemson | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Stoner | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Houghton | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Victoria Newberry | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Weisel | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Fulk | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| David Sutton | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| Taylor Wood | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 36.2% |
| Jordan Hayes | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.