← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Carolina1.25+3.67vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.53+2.01vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-0.16+6.07vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.33+0.45vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland0.45+2.16vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University1.36-1.62vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University0.93-1.45vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-1.17+4.87vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech-1.79+5.53vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary-0.87+1.58vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-0.33-1.32vs Predicted
-
12University of Georgia-1.09+0.81vs Predicted
-
13Washington College-0.76-1.95vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University0.12-5.79vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary-1.80-0.44vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-1.34-2.73vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-2.64vs Predicted
-
18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-5.97vs Predicted
-
19Penn State University-2.27-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.67University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.01Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
-
9.07Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
4.45North Carolina State University1.330.2%1st Place
-
7.16University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
-
4.38Clemson University1.360.2%1st Place
-
5.55Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
-
12.87North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
-
14.53Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
-
11.58William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.68University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
-
12.81University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.05Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
-
8.21Florida State University0.120.1%1st Place
-
14.56William and Mary-1.800.0%1st Place
-
13.27University of North Carolina-1.340.0%1st Place
-
14.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
-
12.03Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
-
15.75Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackey Leventis | 12.4% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 18.1% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 15.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 16.4% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsy Waack | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 15.8% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Stoner | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Houghton | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Deleon | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Skelton | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 17.8% |
| Emily Smith | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
| David Sutton | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.