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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.95+6.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.98+2.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+2.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.08+2.78vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+2.50vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+4.21vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.82-0.47vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.60-3.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.84-2.26vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.53+0.47vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.18-5.74vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.67-0.77vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.77-6.83vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Boston University0.957.8%1st Place
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4.15Brown University1.9818.1%1st Place
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5.57Yale University1.5911.9%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University1.087.6%1st Place
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7.5Salve Regina University0.465.9%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.4%1st Place
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8.47Fairfield University0.424.9%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island0.826.2%1st Place
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5.38Roger Williams University1.6010.8%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont0.846.0%1st Place
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11.47McGill University-0.531.1%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University1.188.6%1st Place
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12.23Bates College-0.671.2%1st Place
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7.17Northeastern University0.776.6%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University-0.930.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Balunas | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Charles Gish | 18.1% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 8.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Owen Grainger | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Roman | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 20.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 30.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 21.6% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.