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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.81+7.33vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+4.03vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+5.03vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+1.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+1.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.74vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-1.67vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.91+0.15vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.56+3.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.70-1.03vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.40-1.05vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.90-3.55vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.75-4.05vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-6.84vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.41-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.03Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.45Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.33Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.15Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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12.39Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.97University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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9.95College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.79Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Russom | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Bianca Rom | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 41.9% |
| Hillary Noble | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% |
| Bethany Leonard | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.